Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4146
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4146 · PHX → MDW
departs 2:23 PM MT · arrives 6:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 11/13
Mon 11/16 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.