Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4334
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4334 · LAS → AUS
departs 3:18 PM PT · arrives 8:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 41%
Sun 11/15 49%
Mon 11/16 36%
Tue 11/17 23%
Wed 11/18 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.