Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4584
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4584 · CHS → DAL
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 6:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS
Weather at each end
CHS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.