Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4748
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4748 · ONT → BNA
departs 1:41 PM PT · arrives 7:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.18 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.