Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4803
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4803 · CMH → TPA
departs 8:51 PM ET · arrives 11:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 21%
Tue 11/17 23%
Wed 11/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±8 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.05 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.