Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4803
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4803 · SAN → CMH
departs 1:07 PM PT · arrives 8:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 41%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,467 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.