Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 488
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 488 · RNO → BNA
departs 1:13 PM PT · arrives 7:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±8 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at RNO that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.14 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.