Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4946 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:51 PM MT (1 H 16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

WN 4946 · PHX → SDF

departs 6:20 PM MT · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to SDF?

  1. On time or early
    47%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    15%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    15%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.