Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4972 · CLE → STL
departs 8:05 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 23%
Mon 11/16 19%
Tue 11/17 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 4.33333 mi Precip 0.07 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.