Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 556 · CMH → MCO
departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 11/12 28%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.