Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 596
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 596 · LAX → SFO
departs 11:33 AM PT · arrives 12:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 46%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 51%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
80%
Arrive 1h+ late
75%
Cancelled
11%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed – in 24h
–
80%
Yes 80%
No 20%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
75%
Yes 75%
No 25%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
36%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 44 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SFO that day
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 44 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.