Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 598
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 598 · DEN → LAX
departs 1:49 PM MT · arrives 3:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 41%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.