Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 698
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 698 · SJC → SEA
departs 12:48 PM PT · arrives 3:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 24%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
SJC usually runs smoothly
↓
12pm departures from SJC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.53 in
SEA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.