Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9002
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 9002 · LAS → ICT
departs 2:46 PM PT · arrives 7:16 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Fri 11/13
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±11 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ICT
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.