Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 921
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 921 · MDW → LGA
departs 5:13 PM CT · arrives 8:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 11/12 83%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 65%
Mon 11/16 59%
Tue 11/17 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.