Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 930 · BUR → SJC
departs 1:13 PM PT · arrives 2:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from BUR are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SJC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8.33333 mi
Precip 0.28 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.