Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 968 · SAN → DAL
departs 12:51 PM PT · arrives 5:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 33%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SAN that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.