Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 979
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 979 · BWI → CMH
departs 6:13 PM ET · arrives 7:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 21%
Sun 11/15 47%
Mon 11/16 31%
Tue 11/17 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at BWI that day
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.