Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 984
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 984 · LGA → MSY
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 48%
Mon 11/16 52%
Tue 11/17 42%
Wed 11/18 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
20%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.31 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.