WS 1473 · LAS → YEG

departs 7:04 PM PT · arrives 12:06 AM CST

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YEG?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at YEG that day

↑ 7pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into YEG at that hour are usually not late

↓ YEG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YEG (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1473 · LAS → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?