YX 5810 · DTW → CMH

departs 10:15 AM ET · arrives 11:23 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from DTW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5810 · DTW → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?