9E 4780 · IND → RDU

departs 4:13 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Your aircraft is N183GJ (CRJ9), coming in as 9E 4780 from RDU: landed 3:28 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4780 · IND → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?