Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 4972 LANDED 10:17 AM ET, ~90 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

9E 4972 · IND → LGA

took off 8:41 AM ET · landed 10:17 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4972 · IND → LGA

Odds over time