9E 5519 · ATL → TRI

took off 5:43 PM ET · landed 6:26 PM ET (scheduled 3:17 PM ET → 4:32 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at TRI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TRI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TRI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5519 · ATL → TRI

Odds over time

How late did it get to TRI?