Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 22 LANDED 5:49 PM ET, ~1 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

9K 22 · BOS → ACK

took off 5:14 PM ET · landed 5:49 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at ACK more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ACK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 22 · BOS → ACK

Odds over time