Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 3021 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

9K 3021 · MVY → BOS

departs 1:37 PM ET · arrives 2:05 PM ET

Your aircraft is KAIR (C402).

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MVY

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 3021 · MVY → BOS

Odds over time