Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 5201 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

9K 5201 · ACK → BOS

departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 3:57 PM ET

Your aircraft is N706CA (C402).

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ACK

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ACK (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 5201 · ACK → BOS

Odds over time