Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 818 LANDED 8:26 AM ET, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

9K 818 · BOS → MVY

took off 7:59 AM ET · landed 8:26 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ MVY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MVY (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 818 · BOS → MVY

Odds over time