Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1360 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, November 14

AA 1360 · DFW → BUF

departs 11:51 AM CT · arrives 3:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

BUF (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1360 · DFW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?