Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1366 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, November 14

AA 1366 · ORD → DEN

departs 11:50 AM CT · arrives 1:30 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1366 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?