AA 1961 · SAT → DFW

took off 6:10 PM CT · landed 7:02 PM CT (scheduled 4:24 PM CT → 5:46 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling720 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.15 in

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1961 · SAT → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?