AA 1991 · DFW → FSD

took off 7:54 PM CT · landed 9:36 PM CT (scheduled 6:42 PM CT → 9:03 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FSD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 49% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ FSD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip0.08 in

FSD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1991 · DFW → FSD

Odds over time

How late did it get to FSD?