Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2121SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2121 · RNO → PHX
departs 9:46 AM PT · arrives 12:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±5 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.