Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2412 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:50 PM ET (5 H 49 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 2412 · TPA → PHL

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.