AA 2880 · PHL → ORD

took off 6:57 PM ET · landed 7:37 PM CT (scheduled 3:46 PM ET → 4:58 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2880 · PHL → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?