Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 464 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 6:09 PM CT (1 H 4 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 464 · DFW → SMF

departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 6:28 PM PT
Your aircraft is N981AN (B738), coming in as AA 1599 from JAX: landed 4:25 PM CT.
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
99% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SMF?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.