tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 521 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 521 · MCO → LGA

departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
40% chance · ±8 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.