Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AEROMÉXICO · FLIGHT AM 9485 LANDED 4:35 PM CST, ~13 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

AM 9485 · JFK → MEX

took off 12:40 PM ET · landed 4:35 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MEX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AM 9485 · JFK → MEX

Odds over time