AV 227 · BOS → BOG

departs 7:59 AM ET · arrives 2:34 PM -05

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOG?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AV's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOG

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 227 · BOS → BOG

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOG?