Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 42 DEPARTURE NOT REPORTED YET (THE FAA SEES FLIGHTS FROM ABROAD ONCE THEY NEAR US AIRSPACE) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

AV 42 · MDE → JFK

departs 2:05 AM -05 · arrives 4:48 AM ET

Your aircraft is HK5318 (A320).

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

MDE (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 42 · MDE → JFK

Odds over time