Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4959 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

C5 4959 · GSP → IAD

departs 8:12 AM ET · arrives 9:29 AM ET

Your aircraft is N17146 (E145), coming in as C5 4962 from IAD: landed 2:51 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

↓ Arrivals into IAD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

GSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4959 · GSP → IAD

Odds over time