Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1061
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Today
DL 1061 · JAX → JFK
departs 5:44 PM ET · arrives 7:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
18%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
18%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.