DL 1121 · LGA → BNA

took off 7:39 PM ET · expected to land 8:30 PM CT (scheduled 4:27 PM ET → 5:48 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
100%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1121 · LGA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?