Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1268
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Today
DL 1268 · ATL → MKE
departs 10:39 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 19%
Mon 11/16 11%
Tue 11/17 13%
Wed 11/18 13%
Thu 11/19 20%
Fri 11/20 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.