DL 1283 · ATL → MDT

departs 9:59 PM ET · arrives 11:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +42 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
36%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1283 · ATL → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?