DL 2260 · AUS → LAS

took off 4:57 PM CT · expected to land 5:35 PM PT (scheduled 4:24 PM CT → 5:16 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

LIVE

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
52%
30 min–1 hour late
34%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2260 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?