DL 2689 · SLC → AUS

took off 3:52 PM MT · expected to land 6:59 PM CT (scheduled 1:24 PM MT → 5:25 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
97%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.44 in

AUS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2689 · SLC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?