Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2766
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
DL 2766 · PDX → LAX
departs 1:25 PM PT · arrives 3:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 11/13 34%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
1pm departures from PDX are often late
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 2,600 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.06 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 2,533 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.