DL 2792 · SMF → SLC

departs 4:53 PM PT · arrives 7:38 PM MT

Your aircraft is N134DU (BCS1), coming in as DL 2792 from SLC: in the air, landing about 4:53 PM PT, 5 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

95% chance · ±0 pts +50 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
21%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from SMF are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2792 · SMF → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?