DL 3180 · ATL → JAN

departs 6:33 PM ET · arrives 6:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3180 · ATL → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?